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Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Wehen Wiesbaden U19
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
FT
2 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
FSV Frankfurt U19
FSV Frankfurt U19
I. Ati Allah 44'
K. Hasanovic 9'
D. Meene 73'
8/24/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 4Stadion Wallbacherstraße

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Wehen Wiesbaden U1955%
×Draw20%
FSV Frankfurt U1925%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wehen Wiesbaden U19
2.25
FSV Frankfurt U19
1.47

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 creates 53% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 31 away

creates per match

Wehen Wiesbaden U19
2.39
FSV Frankfurt U19
1.23

allows per match

Wehen Wiesbaden U19
1.71
FSV Frankfurt U19
2.10

finishing

Wehen Wiesbaden U19+0.00on par
FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 ↓

FSV Frankfurt U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 or draw
75%
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 or FSV Frankfurt U19
80%
Draw or FSV Frankfurt U19
45%

Winning margin

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 wins by 2+
34%
FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 1+ goals
89%
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 2+ goals
65%
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 3+ goals
39%
FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals
77%
FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals
43%
FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 (draw refunded)
69%
FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 at home — creates 2.39, concedes 1.71 · 28 matches

FSV Frankfurt U19 away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 attack 2.39 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.25

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.23 + Wehen Wiesbaden U19 defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 scores more
55%
level
20%
FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more
25%

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Wehen Wiesbaden U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'
K. Hasanovic
44'
I. Ati Allah
73'
D. Meene
Wehen
FSV
A. Alexander
Manager: A. Alexander
B. Yelken
Manager: B. Yelken

U19 Bundesliga: Wehen Wiesbaden U19 2–1 FSV Frankfurt U19

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 beat FSV Frankfurt U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on August 24, 2025.

Goals: K. Hasanovic (9'), I. Ati Allah (44'), D. Meene (73').

The match was played at Stadion Wallbacherstraße in Idstein.