Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wales U19 W vs Switzerland U19 W — Friendlies Women 2026

Wales U19 W
Wales U19 W
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
Switzerland U19 W
Switzerland U19 W
L. Ammann 67'
A. Jaggi 36'
A. Keller 19'
10/27/2025Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Wales U19 W3%
×Draw8%
Switzerland U19 W90%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wales U19 W
0.44
Switzerland U19 W
3.30

Switzerland U19 W creates 650% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Wales U19 W
0.20
Switzerland U19 W
3.00

allows per match

Wales U19 W
3.60
Switzerland U19 W
0.67

finishing

Wales U19 W+0.00on par
Switzerland U19 W+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wales U19 W ↓

Switzerland U19 W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–18%
0–214%
0–315%
0–412%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–26%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–00%
2–11%
2–21%
2–31%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–3 (15%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Wales U19 W or draw
10%
Wales U19 W or Switzerland U19 W
92%
Draw or Switzerland U19 W
97%

Winning margin

Wales U19 W wins by 2+
0%
Switzerland U19 W wins by 2+
74%

Team goals

Wales U19 W 1+ goals
36%
Wales U19 W 2+ goals
7%
Wales U19 W 3+ goals
1%
Switzerland U19 W 1+ goals
96%
Switzerland U19 W 2+ goals
83%
Switzerland U19 W 3+ goals
62%

Draw no bet

Wales U19 W (draw refunded)
3%
Switzerland U19 W (draw refunded)
97%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wales U19 W at home — creates 0.20, concedes 3.60 · 5 matches

Switzerland U19 W away — creates 3.00, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wales U19 W attack 0.20 + Switzerland U19 W defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.44

Switzerland U19 W attack 3.00 + Wales U19 W defence 3.60 → ÷2 → 3.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 90%?"

Wales U19 W scores more
3%
level
8%
Switzerland U19 W scores more
90%

Switzerland U19 W at 90% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 90% does not mean "Switzerland U19 W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'
A. Keller
36'
A. Jaggi
67'
L. Ammann

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Wales U19 W 0–3 Switzerland U19 W

Switzerland U19 W beat Wales U19 W 3-0 in Friendlies Women on October 27, 2025.

Goals: A. Keller (19'), A. Jaggi (36'), L. Ammann (67').