Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 8+ matches
Wake 19%Draw 17%64% Tobacco
1.45Expected xG2.75
Over / Under 2.5
78%
Over
22%
Under
Both Score
72%
Yes
28%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-2
8%
1-3
8%
1-1
6%
xG Profile (10 home / 8 away matches)
Wake
xG 0.9 · xGA 3
+0 vs xG
Tobacco Road
xG 2.5 · xGA 2
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- May 17, 2026, 11:00 PM
- Tournament
- USL League Two · Group Stage
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Wake
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51583%
- Under 2.5317%
Both teams scored
- Yes1267%
- No633%
Tobacco Road
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51482%
- Under 2.5318%
Both teams scored
- Yes1376%
- No424%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
1
Wake
1
Draws
1
Tobacco
#ClubPWDLPtsForm
1
Ocean City Nor'easters151401422
Minneapolis City131201363
Vermont Green121110344
Lionsbridge141112345
Ballard141013316
Snohomish United121002307
Laredo Heat11920298
Charlottesville Blues14923299
New England FC139222910
Buffalo138412811
Lehigh Valley United129122812
Peoria128312713
Charlotte Independence 2128312714
Christos158342715
Dothan United118212616
Albion Colorado128222617
Colorado Storm98102518
The Villages117402519
Long Island Rough Riders118122520
FC Motown II108112521
Southern Soccer Academy98102522
San Francisco City98102523
Utah United127412524
Hickory118122525
West Virginia Alliance98102526
Sueno138052427
Oakland County117312428
Inter Miami II98012429
Almaden117222330
Western Mass Pioneers117222331
Denton Diablos107122232
Appalachian116412233
Flint City Bucks107122234
Steel City106402235
Little Rock Rangers87102236
Ironbound97112237
Ventura County Fusion96302138
Evergreen146352139
Redlands116322140
GFI86202041
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2116232042
Black Rock116232043
Virginia Beach City126242044
McKinney Chupacabras106222045
Annapolis Blues136161946
Asheville City105411947
Project 51O86111948
Louisville City II106131949
Lonestar105411950
Cedar Stars Rush96121951
Santafé Wanderers105321852
Texoma96031853
Red River115331854
Des Moines Menace115331855
SC United Bantams115331856
Bangers96031857
Nona104421658
Midwest United105141659
Hudson Valley Hammers95131660
Loudoun 2105141661
RKC115151662
North Carolina II95131663
Reading United115151664
Blackwatch Rush115151665
AHFC Royals104331566
Northern Indiana85031567
Stars FC84311568
Hattiesburg104331569
City SC125071570
Rockford Raptors105051571
Morris Elite125071572
River Light84221473
Kalamazoo FC104241474
Manhattan114251475
Connecticut Rush124261476
West Chester United114251477
Real Central New Jersey124261478
San Antonio FC 2104241479
Columbus United113531480
Lorain County Leviathan84131381
Lakeland United84131382
Tucson83411383
Montgomery United103431384
Louisiana Krewe94141385
West Seattle Junction114161386
North Carolina Fusion124171387
Delaware FC134181388
Boston Bolts123451389
Lone Star II124171390
Oly Town134181391
Brooke House123451392
Chicago Dutch Lions114161393
Hill City104061294
Mississippi Brilla93331295
AFC Ann Arbor84041296
PA Classics103341297
Shark Coast112631298
Real Colorado Foxes94051299
Charlotte Eagles1133512100
Capo832311101
Miami AC832311102
Midlakes United1232711103
Tacoma Stars1032511104
St. Louis Ambush1132611105
Bethesda SC932411106
Marin1132611107
Lubbock Matadors931510108
Houston FC831410109
Akron City931510110
Weston831410111
Hill Country Lobos1031610112
SF Glens931510113
Dayton Dutch Lions1031610114
Sunflower State1231810115
Memphis 90192349116
Sporting Jax 2101639117
Apotheos112369118
Tobacco Road122379119
Cleveland Force113089120
Rochester103079121
Unión Villa Krause72238122
West Texas72238123
Davis Legacy92258124
Brevard102268125
Academica102268126
Springfield102268127
Seahorses112278128
Seacoast United Phantoms102177129
Union Macomb102177130
New Jersey Copa102177131
Kings Hammer Columbus82066132
Birmingham Legion II81346133
St. Croix92076134
Brazos Valley112096135
Edgewater Castle92076136
Bigfoot111376137
Lansing City112096138
Colorado ISA1413106139
FC Miami City81255140
Inter Gainesville81255141
Toledo Villa91174142
Port City101184143
AMSG111194144
Westchester Flames111194145
Staten Island Athletic1211104146
Miami11003147
Swarm FC30303148
Sportivo San Juan90363149
East Atlanta110383150
Boston City90363151
Wake1110103152
Virginia Marauders101093153
Flatirons Rush110292154
Eagle FC100191155
Houston Sur100191156
Patuxent1301121157
Jackson Boom80080158
AC Connecticut1100110159
Fort Worth Vaqueros90090160
Erie Sports Center1000100
Ocean City Nor'eastersMinneapolis CityVermont GreenLionsbridgeBallardSnohomish UnitedLaredo HeatCharlottesville BluesNew England FCBuffaloLehigh Valley UnitedPeoriaCharlotte Independence 2ChristosDothan UnitedAlbion ColoradoColorado StormThe VillagesLong Island Rough RidersFC Motown IISouthern Soccer AcademySan Francisco CityUtah UnitedHickoryWest Virginia AllianceSuenoOakland CountyInter Miami IIAlmadenWestern Mass PioneersDenton DiablosAppalachianFlint City BucksSteel CityLittle Rock RangersIronboundVentura County FusionEvergreenRedlandsGFIPittsburgh Riverhounds 2Black RockVirginia Beach CityMcKinney ChupacabrasAnnapolis BluesAsheville CityProject 51OLouisville City IILonestarCedar Stars RushSantafé WanderersTexomaRed RiverDes Moines MenaceSC United BantamsBangersNonaMidwest UnitedHudson Valley HammersLoudoun 2RKCNorth Carolina IIReading UnitedBlackwatch RushAHFC RoyalsNorthern IndianaStars FCHattiesburgCity SCRockford RaptorsMorris EliteRiver LightKalamazoo FCManhattanConnecticut RushWest Chester UnitedReal Central New JerseySan Antonio FC 2Columbus UnitedLorain County LeviathanLakeland UnitedTucsonMontgomery UnitedLouisiana KreweWest Seattle JunctionNorth Carolina FusionDelaware FCBoston BoltsLone Star IIOly TownBrooke HouseChicago Dutch LionsHill CityMississippi BrillaAFC Ann ArborPA ClassicsShark CoastReal Colorado FoxesCharlotte EaglesCapoMiami ACMidlakes UnitedTacoma StarsSt. Louis AmbushBethesda SCMarinLubbock MatadorsHouston FCAkron CityWestonHill Country LobosSF GlensDayton Dutch LionsSunflower StateMemphis 901Sporting Jax 2ApotheosTobacco RoadCleveland ForceRochesterUnión Villa KrauseWest TexasDavis LegacyBrevardAcademicaSpringfieldSeahorsesSeacoast United PhantomsUnion MacombNew Jersey CopaKings Hammer ColumbusBirmingham Legion IISt. CroixBrazos ValleyEdgewater CastleBigfootLansing CityColorado ISAFC Miami CityInter GainesvilleToledo VillaPort CityAMSGWestchester FlamesStaten Island AthleticMiamiSwarm FCSportivo San JuanEast AtlantaBoston CityWakeVirginia MaraudersFlatirons RushEagle FCHouston SurPatuxentJackson BoomAC ConnecticutFort Worth VaquerosErie Sports CenterIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Wake host Tobacco Road on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at 23:00. The match is part of the USL League Two 2026/2027 season.
CompetitionUSL League Two — USA
USL League Two: Wake 2–6 Tobacco Road
Tobacco Road beat Wake 6-2 in USL League Two on May 17, 2026.