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Wacker Burghausen vs Schalding-Heining — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Wacker Burghausen
Wacker Burghausen
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Schalding-Heining
Schalding-Heining
2/24/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Wacker-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Wacker Burghausen56%
×Draw19%
Schalding-Heining25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wacker Burghausen
2.51
Schalding-Heining
1.64

Wacker Burghausen creates 53% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 8 away

creates per match

Wacker Burghausen
2.90
Schalding-Heining
1.88

allows per match

Wacker Burghausen
1.40
Schalding-Heining
2.13

finishing

Wacker Burghausen+0.00on par
Schalding-Heining+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wacker Burghausen ↓

Schalding-Heining →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Wacker Burghausen or draw
75%
Wacker Burghausen or Schalding-Heining
81%
Draw or Schalding-Heining
44%

Winning margin

Wacker Burghausen wins by 2+
36%
Schalding-Heining wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Wacker Burghausen 1+ goals
92%
Wacker Burghausen 2+ goals
71%
Wacker Burghausen 3+ goals
45%
Schalding-Heining 1+ goals
81%
Schalding-Heining 2+ goals
49%
Schalding-Heining 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Wacker Burghausen (draw refunded)
69%
Schalding-Heining (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wacker Burghausen at home — creates 2.90, concedes 1.40 · 10 matches

Schalding-Heining away — creates 1.88, concedes 2.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wacker Burghausen attack 2.90 + Schalding-Heining defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.51

Schalding-Heining attack 1.88 + Wacker Burghausen defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Wacker Burghausen scores more
56%
level
19%
Schalding-Heining scores more
25%

Wacker Burghausen at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Wacker Burghausen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Wacker Burghausen 2–1 Schalding-Heining

Wacker Burghausen beat Schalding-Heining 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 24, 2024.

The match was played at Wacker-Arena in Burghausen.