Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wa Power vs Sankara Nationals — Division One League 2025

Wa Power
Wa Power
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Sankara Nationals
Sankara Nationals
12/7/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 10

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Wa Power57%
×Draw24%
Sankara Nationals19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wa Power
1.65
Sankara Nationals
0.82

Wa Power creates 101% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

creates per match

Wa Power
1.29
Sankara Nationals
1.00

allows per match

Wa Power
0.64
Sankara Nationals
2.00

finishing

Wa Power+0.00on par
Sankara Nationals+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wa Power ↓

Sankara Nationals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Wa Power or draw
81%
Wa Power or Sankara Nationals
76%
Draw or Sankara Nationals
43%

Winning margin

Wa Power wins by 2+
31%
Sankara Nationals wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Wa Power 1+ goals
81%
Wa Power 2+ goals
49%
Wa Power 3+ goals
23%
Sankara Nationals 1+ goals
56%
Sankara Nationals 2+ goals
20%
Sankara Nationals 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Wa Power (draw refunded)
75%
Sankara Nationals (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wa Power at home — creates 1.29, concedes 0.64 · 14 matches

Sankara Nationals away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wa Power attack 1.29 + Sankara Nationals defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.65

Sankara Nationals attack 1.00 + Wa Power defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Wa Power scores more
57%
level
24%
Sankara Nationals scores more
19%

Wa Power at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Wa Power will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Wa Power vs Sankara Nationals

Wa Power and Sankara Nationals drew 1-1 in Division One League on December 7, 2025.