Wa Power 2–0 Bolga AllStars: Result & Stats

Wa Power

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Bolga AllStars

2/15/2026

Division One League · Round 19

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Wa Power62%

×Draw24%

Bolga AllStars14%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Wa PowerExpected goals in this matchBolga AllStars

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.65

0.64

Wa Power

1.65

Bolga AllStars

0.64

Wa Power creates 158% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

1.29

creates per match

0.64

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Wa Power

1.29

Bolga AllStars

0.64

allows per match

Wa Power

0.64

Bolga AllStars

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Wa Power+0.00on par

Bolga AllStars+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wa Power ↓

Bolga AllStars →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–16%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Wa Power or draw

86%

Wa Power or Bolga AllStars

76%

Draw or Bolga AllStars

38%

Winning margin

Wa Power wins by 2+

35%

Bolga AllStars wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Wa Power 1+ goals

81%

Wa Power 2+ goals

49%

Wa Power 3+ goals

23%

Bolga AllStars 1+ goals

47%

Bolga AllStars 2+ goals

14%

Bolga AllStars 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Wa Power (draw refunded)

81%

Bolga AllStars (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wa Power at home — creates 1.29, concedes 0.64 · 14 matches

Bolga AllStars away — creates 0.64, concedes 2.00 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wa Power attack 1.29 + Bolga AllStars defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.65

Bolga AllStars attack 0.64 + Wa Power defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Wa Power scores more

62%

level

24%

Bolga AllStars scores more

14%

Wa Power at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Wa Power will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff