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Vysočina Jihlava vs Tatran Bohunice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
FT
5 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Tatran Bohunice
Tatran Bohunice
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Na Stoupách

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Vysočina Jihlava72%
×Draw14%
Tatran Bohunice14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vysočina Jihlava
3.33
Tatran Bohunice
1.46

Vysočina Jihlava creates 128% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 4 away

creates per match

Vysočina Jihlava
3.42
Tatran Bohunice
2.00

allows per match

Vysočina Jihlava
0.92
Tatran Bohunice
3.25

finishing

Vysočina Jihlava+0.00on par
Tatran Bohunice+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vysočina Jihlava ↓

Tatran Bohunice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–14%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–17%
4–25%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (8%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
49%51%

Double chance

Vysočina Jihlava or draw
86%
Vysočina Jihlava or Tatran Bohunice
86%
Draw or Tatran Bohunice
28%

Winning margin

Vysočina Jihlava wins by 2+
53%
Tatran Bohunice wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Vysočina Jihlava 1+ goals
96%
Vysočina Jihlava 2+ goals
84%
Vysočina Jihlava 3+ goals
63%
Tatran Bohunice 1+ goals
77%
Tatran Bohunice 2+ goals
43%
Tatran Bohunice 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Vysočina Jihlava (draw refunded)
84%
Tatran Bohunice (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vysočina Jihlava at home — creates 3.42, concedes 0.92 · 12 matches

Tatran Bohunice away — creates 2.00, concedes 3.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vysočina Jihlava attack 3.42 + Tatran Bohunice defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 3.33

Tatran Bohunice attack 2.00 + Vysočina Jihlava defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Vysočina Jihlava scores more
72%
level
14%
Tatran Bohunice scores more
14%

Vysočina Jihlava at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Vysočina Jihlava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Vysočina Jihlava 5–1 Tatran Bohunice

Vysočina Jihlava beat Tatran Bohunice 5-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Na Stoupách in Jihlava.