Vysočina Jihlava U19 2–0 Slovácko U19

Vysočina Jihlava U19

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Slovácko U19

5/8/2026

1. Liga U19 · Round 25

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Vysočina Jihlava U1942%

×Draw23%

Slovácko U1935%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Vysočina Jihlava U19Expected goals in this matchSlovácko U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.76

1.58

Vysočina Jihlava U19

1.76

Slovácko U19

1.58

Vysočina Jihlava U19 creates 11% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 79 away

1.63

creates per match

1.30

1.85

allows per match

1.89

creates per match

Vysočina Jihlava U19

1.63

Slovácko U19

1.30

allows per match

Vysočina Jihlava U19

1.85

Slovácko U19

1.89

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Vysočina Jihlava U19+0.00on par

Slovácko U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vysočina Jihlava U19 ↓

Slovácko U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Vysočina Jihlava U19 or draw

65%

Vysočina Jihlava U19 or Slovácko U19

77%

Draw or Slovácko U19

58%

Winning margin

Vysočina Jihlava U19 wins by 2+

22%

Slovácko U19 wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Vysočina Jihlava U19 1+ goals

83%

Vysočina Jihlava U19 2+ goals

52%

Vysočina Jihlava U19 3+ goals

26%

Slovácko U19 1+ goals

79%

Slovácko U19 2+ goals

47%

Slovácko U19 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Vysočina Jihlava U19 (draw refunded)

55%

Slovácko U19 (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vysočina Jihlava U19 at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.85 · 60 matches

Slovácko U19 away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.89 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vysočina Jihlava U19 attack 1.63 + Slovácko U19 defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.76

Slovácko U19 attack 1.30 + Vysočina Jihlava U19 defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Vysočina Jihlava U19 scores more

42%

level

23%

Slovácko U19 scores more

35%

Vysočina Jihlava U19 at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Vysočina Jihlava U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff