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Vyškov vs Slovan Bratislava — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vyškov
Vyškov
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
1/17/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TCM Sladovnická UMT

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Vyškov29%
×Draw25%
Slovan Bratislava46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vyškov
1.16
Slovan Bratislava
1.52

Slovan Bratislava creates 31% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 14 away

creates per match

Vyškov
1.25
Slovan Bratislava
1.79

allows per match

Vyškov
1.25
Slovan Bratislava
1.07

finishing

Vyškov+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vyškov ↓

Slovan Bratislava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Vyškov or draw
54%
Vyškov or Slovan Bratislava
75%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava
71%

Winning margin

Vyškov wins by 2+
12%
Slovan Bratislava wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Vyškov 1+ goals
69%
Vyškov 2+ goals
32%
Vyškov 3+ goals
11%
Slovan Bratislava 1+ goals
78%
Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
45%
Slovan Bratislava 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Vyškov (draw refunded)
39%
Slovan Bratislava (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vyškov at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

Slovan Bratislava away — creates 1.79, concedes 1.07 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vyškov attack 1.25 + Slovan Bratislava defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.16

Slovan Bratislava attack 1.79 + Vyškov defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Vyškov scores more
29%
level
25%
Slovan Bratislava scores more
46%

Slovan Bratislava at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Vyškov 2–2 Slovan Bratislava

Vyškov and Slovan Bratislava drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2024.

The match was played at TCM Sladovnická UMT in Brno.