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Vsetín vs Tatran Všechovice — 4. liga - Divizie E 2019

Vsetín
Vsetín
FT
6 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Tatran Všechovice
Tatran Všechovice
5/3/20254. liga - Divizie E4. liga - Divizie E · Division E - 24Stadion Tyršova ulice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 66+ matches

Vsetín57%
×Draw20%
Tatran Všechovice23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vsetín
2.26
Tatran Všechovice
1.38

Vsetín creates 64% more chances

Season form · 66 home / 79 away

creates per match

Vsetín
2.02
Tatran Všechovice
1.76

allows per match

Vsetín
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
2.51

finishing

Vsetín+0.00on par
Tatran Všechovice+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vsetín ↓

Tatran Všechovice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Vsetín or draw
77%
Vsetín or Tatran Všechovice
80%
Draw or Tatran Všechovice
43%

Winning margin

Vsetín wins by 2+
35%
Tatran Všechovice wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Vsetín 1+ goals
89%
Vsetín 2+ goals
66%
Vsetín 3+ goals
39%
Tatran Všechovice 1+ goals
75%
Tatran Všechovice 2+ goals
40%
Tatran Všechovice 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Vsetín (draw refunded)
71%
Tatran Všechovice (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vsetín at home — creates 2.02, concedes 1.00 · 66 matches

Tatran Všechovice away — creates 1.76, concedes 2.51 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vsetín attack 2.02 + Tatran Všechovice defence 2.51 → ÷2 → 2.26

Tatran Všechovice attack 1.76 + Vsetín defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Vsetín scores more
57%
level
20%
Tatran Všechovice scores more
23%

Vsetín at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Vsetín will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

4. liga - Divizie E: Vsetín 6–0 Tatran Všechovice

Vsetín beat Tatran Všechovice 6-0 in 4. liga - Divizie E on May 3, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Tyršova ulice in Vsetín.