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Voorwaarts vs FC Inter Wanica — Eerste Divisie 2019

Voorwaarts
Voorwaarts
FT
4 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
FC Inter Wanica
FC Inter Wanica
1/31/2026Eerste DivisieEerste Divisie · Round 14

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Voorwaarts59%
×Draw21%
FC Inter Wanica21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Voorwaarts
2.13
FC Inter Wanica
1.18

Voorwaarts creates 81% more chances

Season form · 62 home / 60 away

creates per match

Voorwaarts
1.58
FC Inter Wanica
1.17

allows per match

Voorwaarts
1.19
FC Inter Wanica
2.68

finishing

Voorwaarts+0.00on par
FC Inter Wanica+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Voorwaarts ↓

FC Inter Wanica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Voorwaarts or draw
79%
Voorwaarts or FC Inter Wanica
79%
Draw or FC Inter Wanica
41%

Winning margin

Voorwaarts wins by 2+
36%
FC Inter Wanica wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Voorwaarts 1+ goals
88%
Voorwaarts 2+ goals
63%
Voorwaarts 3+ goals
35%
FC Inter Wanica 1+ goals
69%
FC Inter Wanica 2+ goals
33%
FC Inter Wanica 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Voorwaarts (draw refunded)
74%
FC Inter Wanica (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Voorwaarts at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.19 · 62 matches

FC Inter Wanica away — creates 1.17, concedes 2.68 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Voorwaarts attack 1.58 + FC Inter Wanica defence 2.68 → ÷2 → 2.13

FC Inter Wanica attack 1.17 + Voorwaarts defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Voorwaarts scores more
59%
level
21%
FC Inter Wanica scores more
21%

Voorwaarts at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Voorwaarts will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Voorwaarts 4 – 0 FC Inter Wanica

Voorwaarts beat FC Inter Wanica 4-0 in Eerste Divisie on January 31, 2026.