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Vojvodina vs FK Partizan — Super Liga 2026

Vojvodina
Vojvodina
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
FK Partizan
FK Partizan
3/8/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 26Karadorde Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 142+ matches

Vojvodina33%
×Draw26%
FK Partizan42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vojvodina
1.27
FK Partizan
1.46

FK Partizan creates 15% more chances

Season form · 144 home / 142 away

creates per match

Vojvodina
1.57
FK Partizan
1.90

allows per match

Vojvodina
1.02
FK Partizan
0.97

finishing

Vojvodina+0.00on par
FK Partizan+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vojvodina ↓

FK Partizan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Vojvodina or draw
58%
Vojvodina or FK Partizan
74%
Draw or FK Partizan
67%

Winning margin

Vojvodina wins by 2+
14%
FK Partizan wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Vojvodina 1+ goals
72%
Vojvodina 2+ goals
36%
Vojvodina 3+ goals
14%
FK Partizan 1+ goals
77%
FK Partizan 2+ goals
43%
FK Partizan 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Vojvodina (draw refunded)
44%
FK Partizan (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vojvodina at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.02 · 144 matches

FK Partizan away — creates 1.90, concedes 0.97 · 142 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vojvodina attack 1.57 + FK Partizan defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 1.27

FK Partizan attack 1.90 + Vojvodina defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Vojvodina scores more
33%
level
26%
FK Partizan scores more
42%

FK Partizan at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FK Partizan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vojvodina vs FK Partizan

Vojvodina beat FK Partizan 3-0 in Super Liga on March 8, 2026.

The match was played at Karadorde Stadium in Novi Sad.