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Vojvodina vs Cukaricki — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vojvodina
Vojvodina
CANC
13:00
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
1/31/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Vojvodina34%
×Draw28%
Cukaricki39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vojvodina
1.15
Cukaricki
1.25

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 11 away

creates per match

Vojvodina
1.11
Cukaricki
1.73

allows per match

Vojvodina
0.78
Cukaricki
1.18

finishing

Vojvodina+0.00on par
Cukaricki+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vojvodina ↓

Cukaricki →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Vojvodina or draw
61%
Vojvodina or Cukaricki
72%
Draw or Cukaricki
66%

Winning margin

Vojvodina wins by 2+
14%
Cukaricki wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Vojvodina 1+ goals
68%
Vojvodina 2+ goals
32%
Vojvodina 3+ goals
11%
Cukaricki 1+ goals
71%
Cukaricki 2+ goals
36%
Cukaricki 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Vojvodina (draw refunded)
47%
Cukaricki (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vojvodina at home — creates 1.11, concedes 0.78 · 9 matches

Cukaricki away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vojvodina attack 1.11 + Cukaricki defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.15

Cukaricki attack 1.73 + Vojvodina defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Vojvodina scores more
34%
level
28%
Cukaricki scores more
39%

Cukaricki at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Cukaricki will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Vojvodina vs Cukaricki — Match Preview

Vojvodina face Cukaricki on January 31, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Vojvodina host Cukaricki at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.