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Vojvodina 1928 vs Hajduk Divoš — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Vojvodina 1928
Vojvodina 1928
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hajduk Divoš
Hajduk Divoš
3/23/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 18Stadion Vojvodina 1928

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Vojvodina 192823%
×Draw28%
Hajduk Divoš50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vojvodina 1928
0.84
Hajduk Divoš
1.38

Hajduk Divoš creates 64% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 30 away

creates per match

Vojvodina 1928
0.81
Hajduk Divoš
1.13

allows per match

Vojvodina 1928
1.64
Hajduk Divoš
0.87

finishing

Vojvodina 1928+0.00on par
Hajduk Divoš+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vojvodina 1928 ↓

Hajduk Divoš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–115%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–15%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Vojvodina 1928 or draw
50%
Vojvodina 1928 or Hajduk Divoš
72%
Draw or Hajduk Divoš
77%

Winning margin

Vojvodina 1928 wins by 2+
7%
Hajduk Divoš wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Vojvodina 1928 1+ goals
57%
Vojvodina 1928 2+ goals
21%
Vojvodina 1928 3+ goals
5%
Hajduk Divoš 1+ goals
75%
Hajduk Divoš 2+ goals
40%
Hajduk Divoš 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Vojvodina 1928 (draw refunded)
32%
Hajduk Divoš (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vojvodina 1928 at home — creates 0.81, concedes 1.64 · 42 matches

Hajduk Divoš away — creates 1.13, concedes 0.87 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vojvodina 1928 attack 0.81 + Hajduk Divoš defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.84

Hajduk Divoš attack 1.13 + Vojvodina 1928 defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Vojvodina 1928 scores more
23%
level
28%
Hajduk Divoš scores more
50%

Hajduk Divoš at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Hajduk Divoš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vojvodina 1928 vs Hajduk Divoš

Vojvodina 1928 and Hajduk Divoš drew 0-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on March 23, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Vojvodina 1928 in Perlez.