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Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf 09 — Regionalliga - Mitte 2018

Voitsberg
Voitsberg
FT
6 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Gleisdorf 09
Gleisdorf 09
5/8/2026Regionalliga - MitteRegionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 26Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Voitsberg70%
×Draw17%
Gleisdorf 0914%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Voitsberg
2.55
Gleisdorf 09
1.04

Voitsberg creates 145% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 105 away

creates per match

Voitsberg
3.50
Gleisdorf 09
1.54

allows per match

Voitsberg
0.53
Gleisdorf 09
1.60

finishing

Voitsberg+0.00on par
Gleisdorf 09+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Voitsberg ↓

Gleisdorf 09 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–17%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Voitsberg or draw
86%
Voitsberg or Gleisdorf 09
83%
Draw or Gleisdorf 09
30%

Winning margin

Voitsberg wins by 2+
48%
Gleisdorf 09 wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Voitsberg 1+ goals
92%
Voitsberg 2+ goals
72%
Voitsberg 3+ goals
46%
Gleisdorf 09 1+ goals
65%
Gleisdorf 09 2+ goals
28%
Gleisdorf 09 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Voitsberg (draw refunded)
84%
Gleisdorf 09 (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Voitsberg at home — creates 3.50, concedes 0.53 · 30 matches

Gleisdorf 09 away — creates 1.54, concedes 1.60 · 105 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Voitsberg attack 3.50 + Gleisdorf 09 defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 2.55

Gleisdorf 09 attack 1.54 + Voitsberg defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Voitsberg scores more
70%
level
17%
Gleisdorf 09 scores more
14%

Voitsberg at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Voitsberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf 09

Voitsberg beat Gleisdorf 09 6-0 in Regionalliga - Mitte on May 8, 2026.

The match was played at Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg in Voitsberg.