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Vittsjö W vs Piteå W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Vittsjö W
Vittsjö W
Preview
12:00
Piteå W
Piteå W
10/25/2026DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 23Vittsjo
Big match
46%
Vittsjö W
model favours
46%26%28%

Piteå W score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Vittsjö W46%
×Draw26%
Piteå W28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vittsjö W
1.45
Piteå W
1.07

Vittsjö W creates 36% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 79 away

creates per match

Vittsjö W
1.48
Piteå W
1.00

allows per match

Vittsjö W
1.14
Piteå W
1.42

finishing

Vittsjö W+0.00on par
Piteå W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vittsjö W ↓

Piteå W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Vittsjö W or draw
72%
Vittsjö W or Piteå W
74%
Draw or Piteå W
54%

Winning margin

Vittsjö W wins by 2+
22%
Piteå W wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Vittsjö W 1+ goals
77%
Vittsjö W 2+ goals
42%
Vittsjö W 3+ goals
18%
Piteå W 1+ goals
66%
Piteå W 2+ goals
29%
Piteå W 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Vittsjö W (draw refunded)
62%
Piteå W (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vittsjö W at home — creates 1.48, concedes 1.14 · 79 matches

Piteå W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.42 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vittsjö W attack 1.48 + Piteå W defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.45

Piteå W attack 1.00 + Vittsjö W defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Vittsjö W scores more
46%
level
26%
Piteå W scores more
28%

Vittsjö W at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Vittsjö W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Vittsjö W are unbeaten in 6 straight
  • Vittsjö W score first in only 27% of matches
  • Vittsjö W have scored in 9 games running
  • Piteå W fall short of their xG (0.7 vs 1.5 expected)
  • Both teams score in 82% of Vittsjö W’s matches
  • Vittsjö W win just 22% against the top half (vs 55% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Vittsjö W
Direct / counter-attacking
Piteå W
Direct / counter-attacking
43%Possession41%
69%Pass accuracy70%
8.8Shots10.5
0.91xGBiggest gap1.46
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Vittsjö WPiteå W

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

6
Vittsjö W
1
Draws
3
Piteå W
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 60%
0–13–22–12–00–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
DWDLW
W
DLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Vittsjö W face Piteå W (Damallsvenskan)

Damallsvenskan returns with Vittsjö W hosting Piteå W. Match starts October 25, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Vittsjö W host Piteå W at Vittsjo.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.