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Vision vs Swedru All Blacks — Premier League 2019

Vision
Vision
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Swedru All Blacks
Swedru All Blacks
5/2/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 31Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Vision52%
×Draw28%
Swedru All Blacks20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vision
1.34
Swedru All Blacks
0.72

Vision creates 86% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 17 away

creates per match

Vision
1.44
Swedru All Blacks
0.76

allows per match

Vision
0.68
Swedru All Blacks
1.24

finishing

Vision+0.00on par
Swedru All Blacks+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vision ↓

Swedru All Blacks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Vision or draw
80%
Vision or Swedru All Blacks
72%
Draw or Swedru All Blacks
48%

Winning margin

Vision wins by 2+
25%
Swedru All Blacks wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Vision 1+ goals
74%
Vision 2+ goals
39%
Vision 3+ goals
15%
Swedru All Blacks 1+ goals
51%
Swedru All Blacks 2+ goals
16%
Swedru All Blacks 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Vision (draw refunded)
72%
Swedru All Blacks (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vision at home — creates 1.44, concedes 0.68 · 34 matches

Swedru All Blacks away — creates 0.76, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vision attack 1.44 + Swedru All Blacks defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.34

Swedru All Blacks attack 0.76 + Vision defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Vision scores more
52%
level
28%
Swedru All Blacks scores more
20%

Vision at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Vision will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vision vs Swedru All Blacks

Swedru All Blacks beat Vision 2-1 in Premier League on May 2, 2026.

The match was played at Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex in Tema.