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Vision vs Hohoe United — Premier League 2019

Vision
Vision
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hohoe United
Hohoe United
9/28/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 3Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Vision53%
×Draw29%
Hohoe United18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vision
1.29
Hohoe United
0.61

Vision creates 111% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 13 away

creates per match

Vision
1.44
Hohoe United
0.54

allows per match

Vision
0.68
Hohoe United
1.15

finishing

Vision+0.00on par
Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vision ↓

Hohoe United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Vision or draw
82%
Vision or Hohoe United
71%
Draw or Hohoe United
47%

Winning margin

Vision wins by 2+
25%
Hohoe United wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Vision 1+ goals
72%
Vision 2+ goals
37%
Vision 3+ goals
14%
Hohoe United 1+ goals
46%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
13%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Vision (draw refunded)
75%
Hohoe United (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vision at home — creates 1.44, concedes 0.68 · 34 matches

Hohoe United away — creates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vision attack 1.44 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.29

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Vision defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Vision scores more
53%
level
29%
Hohoe United scores more
18%

Vision at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Vision will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vision vs Hohoe United

Vision beat Hohoe United 2-0 in Premier League on September 28, 2025.

The match was played at Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex in Tema.