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Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Viktoria Plzeň U19
Viktoria Plzeň U19
Preview
08:30
Slavia Praha U19
Slavia Praha U19
8/22/20261. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 3
51%
Viktoria Plzeň U19
model favours
51%20%30%
2–1
likely score
79%
over 2.5 goals
76%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Viktoria Plzeň U1951%
×Draw20%
Slavia Praha U1930%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Plzeň U19
2.39
Slavia Praha U19
1.81

Viktoria Plzeň U19 creates 32% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 15 away

creates per match

Viktoria Plzeň U19
2.25
Slavia Praha U19
2.33

allows per match

Viktoria Plzeň U19
1.29
Slavia Praha U19
2.53

finishing

Viktoria Plzeň U19+0.00on par
Slavia Praha U19+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Plzeň U19 ↓

Slavia Praha U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Viktoria Plzeň U19 or draw
70%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 or Slavia Praha U19
80%
Draw or Slavia Praha U19
49%

Winning margin

Viktoria Plzeň U19 wins by 2+
31%
Slavia Praha U19 wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Viktoria Plzeň U19 1+ goals
91%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 2+ goals
69%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 3+ goals
42%
Slavia Praha U19 1+ goals
84%
Slavia Praha U19 2+ goals
54%
Slavia Praha U19 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Plzeň U19 (draw refunded)
63%
Slavia Praha U19 (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Plzeň U19 at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.29 · 79 matches

Slavia Praha U19 away — creates 2.33, concedes 2.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Plzeň U19 attack 2.25 + Slavia Praha U19 defence 2.53 → ÷2 → 2.39

Slavia Praha U19 attack 2.33 + Viktoria Plzeň U19 defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Viktoria Plzeň U19 scores more
51%
level
20%
Slavia Praha U19 scores more
30%

Viktoria Plzeň U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Viktoria Plzeň U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
U19
WWWDD
U19
LLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Viktoria Plzeň U19 face Slavia Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 returns with Viktoria Plzeň U19 hosting Slavia Praha U19. Match starts August 22, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.