Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Viktoria Plzeň II vs Přeštice — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Viktoria Plzeň II
Viktoria Plzeň II
CANC
08:30
Přeštice
Přeštice
8/11/20243. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 1Stadion Luční ulice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Viktoria Plzeň II60%
×Draw21%
Přeštice20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Plzeň II
2.09
Přeštice
1.11

Viktoria Plzeň II creates 88% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 30 away

creates per match

Viktoria Plzeň II
2.26
Přeštice
1.17

allows per match

Viktoria Plzeň II
1.06
Přeštice
1.93

finishing

Viktoria Plzeň II+0.00on par
Přeštice+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Plzeň II ↓

Přeštice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Viktoria Plzeň II or draw
80%
Viktoria Plzeň II or Přeštice
79%
Draw or Přeštice
40%

Winning margin

Viktoria Plzeň II wins by 2+
36%
Přeštice wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Viktoria Plzeň II 1+ goals
88%
Viktoria Plzeň II 2+ goals
62%
Viktoria Plzeň II 3+ goals
34%
Přeštice 1+ goals
67%
Přeštice 2+ goals
30%
Přeštice 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Plzeň II (draw refunded)
75%
Přeštice (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Plzeň II at home — creates 2.26, concedes 1.06 · 85 matches

Přeštice away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.93 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Plzeň II attack 2.26 + Přeštice defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.09

Přeštice attack 1.17 + Viktoria Plzeň II defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Viktoria Plzeň II scores more
60%
level
21%
Přeštice scores more
20%

Viktoria Plzeň II at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Viktoria Plzeň II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Viktoria Plzeň II vs Přeštice — Match Preview

Viktoria Plzeň II face Přeštice on August 11, 2024 in this 3. liga - CFL A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Viktoria Plzeň II host Přeštice at Stadion Luční ulice.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.