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Viktoria Plzeň II vs Baník Souš — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Viktoria Plzeň II
Viktoria Plzeň II
FT
3 – 0
Baník Souš
Baník Souš
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Viktoria Plzeň II88%
×Draw8%
Baník Souš3%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Plzeň II
3.42
Baník Souš
0.58

Viktoria Plzeň II creates 490% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Viktoria Plzeň II
3.17
Baník Souš
1.00

allows per match

Viktoria Plzeň II
0.17
Baník Souš
3.67

finishing

Viktoria Plzeň II+0.00on par
Baník Souš+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Plzeň II ↓

Baník Souš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–14%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–013%
3–18%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–011%
4–16%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (13%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
54%46%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Viktoria Plzeň II or draw
97%
Viktoria Plzeň II or Baník Souš
92%
Draw or Baník Souš
12%

Winning margin

Viktoria Plzeň II wins by 2+
73%
Baník Souš wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Viktoria Plzeň II 1+ goals
97%
Viktoria Plzeň II 2+ goals
85%
Viktoria Plzeň II 3+ goals
64%
Baník Souš 1+ goals
44%
Baník Souš 2+ goals
12%
Baník Souš 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Plzeň II (draw refunded)
96%
Baník Souš (draw refunded)
4%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Plzeň II at home — creates 3.17, concedes 0.17 · 6 matches

Baník Souš away — creates 1.00, concedes 3.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Plzeň II attack 3.17 + Baník Souš defence 3.67 → ÷2 → 3.42

Baník Souš attack 1.00 + Viktoria Plzeň II defence 0.17 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 88%?"

Viktoria Plzeň II scores more
88%
level
8%
Baník Souš scores more
3%

Viktoria Plzeň II at 88% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 88% does not mean "Viktoria Plzeň II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Viktoria Plzeň II 3–0 Baník Souš

Viktoria Plzeň II beat Baník Souš 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.