Scoreo

Viktoria Otrokovice vs Viktorie PřerovFriendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Viktoria Otrokovice65%
×Draw16%
Viktorie Přerov19%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Otrokovice
3.33
Viktorie Přerov
1.83

Viktoria Otrokovice creates 82% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 3 away

creates per match

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.67
Viktorie Přerov
1.33

allows per match

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.33
Viktorie Přerov
4.00

finishing

Viktoria Otrokovice+0.00on par
Viktorie Přerov+0.00on par

Total goals

88%Over
  • Over88
  • Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

81%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Otrokovice

Viktorie Přerov
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
011%
021%
031%
040%
1
102%
114%
123%
132%
141%
2
203%
216%
226%
233%
242%
3
304%
317%
326%
334%
342%
4
403%
416%
425%
433%
441%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 77% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
88%12%3.5
74%26%4.5
56%44%

Double chance

Viktoria Otrokovice or draw
81%
Viktoria Otrokovice or Viktorie Přerov
84%
Draw or Viktorie Přerov
35%

Winning margin

Viktoria Otrokovice wins by 2+
46%
Viktorie Přerov wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Viktoria Otrokovice 1+ goals
96%
Viktoria Otrokovice 2+ goals
84%
Viktoria Otrokovice 3+ goals
63%
Viktorie Přerov 1+ goals
84%
Viktorie Přerov 2+ goals
54%
Viktorie Přerov 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Otrokovice (draw refunded)
77%
Viktorie Přerov (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
77%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Otrokovice at homecreates 2.67, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

Viktorie Přerov awaycreates 1.33, concedes 4.00 · 3 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Otrokovice attack 2.67 + Viktorie Přerov defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.33

Viktorie Přerov attack 1.33 + Viktoria Otrokovice defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Viktoria Otrokovice scores more
65%
level
16%
Viktorie Přerov scores more
19%

Viktoria Otrokovice at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Viktoria Otrokovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Viktoria Otrokovice vs Viktorie Přerov

Viktoria Otrokovice beat Viktorie Přerov 4-2 in Friendlies Clubs on June 5, 2021.