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Vikingur Gota vs EB / Streymur — Meistaradeildin 2019

Vikingur Gota
Vikingur Gota
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
EB / Streymur
EB / Streymur
J. Johansen 68'
T. Miezan 64'
8/24/2025MeistaradeildinMeistaradeildin · Round 20Sarpugerði

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

Vikingur Gota66%
×Draw19%
EB / Streymur15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vikingur Gota
2.27
EB / Streymur
0.98

Vikingur Gota creates 132% more chances

Season form · 105 home / 99 away

creates per match

Vikingur Gota
2.48
EB / Streymur
0.98

allows per match

Vikingur Gota
0.98
EB / Streymur
2.07

finishing

Vikingur Gota+0.00on par
EB / Streymur+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vikingur Gota ↓

EB / Streymur →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Vikingur Gota or draw
85%
Vikingur Gota or EB / Streymur
81%
Draw or EB / Streymur
34%

Winning margin

Vikingur Gota wins by 2+
43%
EB / Streymur wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Vikingur Gota 1+ goals
90%
Vikingur Gota 2+ goals
66%
Vikingur Gota 3+ goals
39%
EB / Streymur 1+ goals
62%
EB / Streymur 2+ goals
26%
EB / Streymur 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Vikingur Gota (draw refunded)
81%
EB / Streymur (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vikingur Gota at home — creates 2.48, concedes 0.98 · 105 matches

EB / Streymur away — creates 0.98, concedes 2.07 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vikingur Gota attack 2.48 + EB / Streymur defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.27

EB / Streymur attack 0.98 + Vikingur Gota defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Vikingur Gota scores more
66%
level
19%
EB / Streymur scores more
15%

Vikingur Gota at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Vikingur Gota will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

35'
S. Radosavljevic
64'
T. Miezan
68'
J. Johansen↳ I. Jonhardsson
70'
G. Dahl-Olsen← G. Dahl-Olsen
75'
T. Johannesen
81'
R. Hansen← J. Nielsen
81'
A. Ellingsgaard← S. Radosavljevic
83'
T. Miezan← T. Miezan
87'
M. Hellisa
87'
R. Hansen
90'
K. Bartalsstovu← A. Brandsson
90'
I. Jonhardsson← I. Jonhardsson
90+1'
B. Egilsson← B. Egilsson

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Meistaradeildin: Vikingur Gota 1–1 EB / Streymur

Vikingur Gota and EB / Streymur drew 1-1 in Meistaradeildin on August 24, 2025.

Goals: T. Miezan (64'), J. Johansen (68').

The match was played at Sarpugerði in Norðragøta, Eysturoy.