Vikingur Gota 10–0 B68: Result & Stats

Vikingur Gota

FT

10 – 0

HT: 4 – 0

B68

A. Lawal 88', 72'

G. Hansen 85'

D. Splidt 81'

H. Hansen 78', 14', 6'

A. Olsen 70'

S. Vatnhamar 24'

G. Vatnhamar 12'

4/22/2019

Løgmanssteypid · Quarter-finalsSarpugerði (Norðragøta, Eysturoy)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Vikingur Gota59%

×Draw18%

B6823%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Vikingur GotaExpected goals in this matchB68

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.63

1.60

Vikingur Gota

2.63

B68

1.60

Vikingur Gota creates 64% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 6 away

2.76

creates per match

2.33

0.88

allows per match

2.50

creates per match

Vikingur Gota

2.76

B68

2.33

allows per match

Vikingur Gota

0.88

B68

2.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Vikingur Gota+0.00on par

B68+0.00on par

Total goals

Over79
Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes74
No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vikingur Gota ↓

B68 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–04%

1–16%

1–25%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–15%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

92%8%2.5

79%21%3.5

60%40%4.5

40%60%

Double chance

Vikingur Gota or draw

77%

Vikingur Gota or B68

82%

Draw or B68

41%

Winning margin

Vikingur Gota wins by 2+

39%

B68 wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Vikingur Gota 1+ goals

93%

Vikingur Gota 2+ goals

73%

Vikingur Gota 3+ goals

48%

B68 1+ goals

80%

B68 2+ goals

47%

B68 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Vikingur Gota (draw refunded)

72%

B68 (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

68%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vikingur Gota at home — creates 2.76, concedes 0.88 · 17 matches

B68 away — creates 2.33, concedes 2.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vikingur Gota attack 2.76 + B68 defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.63

B68 attack 2.33 + Vikingur Gota defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Vikingur Gota scores more

59%

level

18%

B68 scores more

23%

Vikingur Gota at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Vikingur Gota will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'

12'

14'

24'

46'

P. Petersen← H. Johannesen

63'

G. Hansen← A. Gregersen

63'

I. Jonhardsson← S. Vatnhamar

70'

K. Clementsen← O. Petersen

70'

B. Knudsen← B. Jensen

70'

72'

73'

78'

81'

85'

88'

Vikingur

B68

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

Vatnhamar

⚽3

Hansen

Đorđević

⚽

▼

Olsen

⚽2

Lawal

Manager: S. Hentze

63'▲G. Hansen←▼A. Gregersen

63'▲I. Jonhardsson←▼S. Vatnhamar

73'▲D. Splidt←▼A. Olsen

Vikingur Gota substitutes

HansenJonhardssonSplidtReynatrøðLervigStrømstenSvojić

Manager: S. Olsen

46'▲P. Petersen←▼H. Johannesen

70'▲K. Clementsen←▼O. Petersen

70'▲B. Knudsen←▼B. Jensen

B68 substitutes

PetersenClementsenKnudsenHjøllumRonaldssonGaardbo

Match Recap: Vikingur Gota vs B68

Vikingur Gota beat B68 10-0 in Løgmanssteypid on April 22, 2019.

Goals: H. Hansen (6', 14', 78'), G. Vatnhamar (12'), S. Vatnhamar (24'), A. Olsen (70'), A. Lawal (72', 88'), D. Splidt (81'), G. Hansen (85').

The match was played at Sarpugerði (Norðragøta, Eysturoy).

Vikingur Gota vs B68 — Løgmanssteypid 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Vikingur Gota vs B68