B68 0–2 Vikingur Gota: Result & Stats

B68

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Vikingur Gota

Á. Atlason 90+1'

P. Kallsberg 77'

5/21/2025

Løgmanssteypid · Semi-finalsSvangaskarð

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

B6836%

×Draw24%

Vikingur Gota40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

B68Expected goals in this matchVikingur Gota

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.56

B68

1.48

Vikingur Gota

1.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 13 away

1.89

creates per match

1.69

1.44

allows per match

1.08

creates per match

B68

1.89

Vikingur Gota

1.69

allows per match

B68

1.44

Vikingur Gota

1.08

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

B68+0.00on par

Vikingur Gota+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B68 ↓

Vikingur Gota →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

B68 or draw

60%

B68 or Vikingur Gota

76%

Draw or Vikingur Gota

64%

Winning margin

B68 wins by 2+

17%

Vikingur Gota wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

B68 1+ goals

77%

B68 2+ goals

43%

B68 3+ goals

19%

Vikingur Gota 1+ goals

79%

Vikingur Gota 2+ goals

46%

Vikingur Gota 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

B68 (draw refunded)

48%

Vikingur Gota (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B68 at home — creates 1.89, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

Vikingur Gota away — creates 1.69, concedes 1.08 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B68 attack 1.89 + Vikingur Gota defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.48

Vikingur Gota attack 1.69 + B68 defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

B68 scores more

36%

level

24%

Vikingur Gota scores more

40%

Vikingur Gota at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Vikingur Gota will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

26'

52'

53'

67'

70'

77'

78'

Á. Atlason← S. Radosavljević

78'

J. Johansen← J. Nielsen

85'

M. Klein← H. Højgaard

85'

T. á Lógv← J. Josephsen

90+6'

O. Bardarson

90+1'

Á. Atlason

B68

Vikingur

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: J. á Borg

52'▲F. á Borg←▼B. Jensen

70'▲D. Samuelsen←▼M. Nón

85'▲M. Klein←▼H. Højgaard

85'▲T. á Lógv←▼J. Josephsen

B68 substitutes

BorgSamuelsenKleinLógvHansenSamuelsenNilsson

Manager: J. Poulsen

78'▲Á. Atlason←▼S. Radosavljević

78'▲J. Johansen←▼J. Nielsen

Vikingur Gota substitutes

AtlasonJohansenBrandssonArngrímssonArngrímssonÓlavssonHansen