Viking 5–1 Haugesund: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Viking

FT

5 – 1

HT: 2 – 1

Haugesund

S. Sebulonsen 90+4', 90'

V. Berisha 51', 42', 27'

A. Ndour 21'

4/30/2022

Eliteserien · Round 16SR-Bank Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 30+ matches

Viking62%

×Draw20%

Haugesund18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

VikingExpected goals in this matchHaugesund

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.23

1.13

Viking

2.23

Haugesund

1.13

Viking creates 97% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 30 away

2.11

creates per match

1.07

1.19

allows per match

2.36

creates per match

Viking

2.11

Haugesund

1.07

allows per match

Viking

1.19

Haugesund

2.36

+0.52scores more than expected

finishing

-0.10scores less than expected

finishing

Viking+0.52scores more

Haugesund-0.10scores less

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viking ↓

Haugesund →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–19%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Viking or draw

82%

Viking or Haugesund

80%

Draw or Haugesund

38%

Winning margin

Viking wins by 2+

39%

Haugesund wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Viking 1+ goals

89%

Viking 2+ goals

65%

Viking 3+ goals

38%

Haugesund 1+ goals

68%

Haugesund 2+ goals

31%

Haugesund 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Viking (draw refunded)

77%

Haugesund (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viking at home — creates 2.11, concedes 1.19 · 32 matches

Haugesund away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.36 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viking attack 2.11 + Haugesund defence 2.36 → ÷2 → 2.23

Haugesund attack 1.07 + Viking defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Viking scores more

62%

level

20%

Haugesund scores more

18%

Viking at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

14

V. Berisha

Viking · F

10.0

Match Events

17'

Nikolas Walstad

21'

A. Ndour↳ M. Sande

27'

V. Berisha↳ H. Tangen

38'

Samúel Kári Friðjónsson

42'

V. Berisha↳ H. Tangen

46'

S. Sebulonsen← N. Sandberg

51'

V. Berisha↳ M. Solbakken

60'

H. Gong← A. Ndour

60'

J. Eskesen← S. Reese

60'

J. Holtan← A. Søderlund

67'

V. Vevatne← S. Friðjónsson

70'

Julius Eskesen

75'

B. Njie← M. Sande

76'

M. Traoré← K. Kabran

85'

S. Auklend← S. Pattynama

90'

S. Sebulonsen↳ M. Traoré

90+4'

S. Sebulonsen↳ M. Traoré

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

VikingHaugesund

Overview

62%Possession38%

20Total Shots14

7Corners4

8Fouls10

Shots

20Total Shots14

10On Target7

5Off Target3

5Blocked4

15Inside Box11

5Outside Box3

Passing

62%Possession38%

527Total Passes317

451Accurate Passes238

86%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

5Saves5

Discipline

8Fouls10

1Yellow Cards2

1Offsides1

Eliteserien: Viking 5–1 Haugesund

Viking beat Haugesund 5-1 in Eliteserien on April 30, 2022.

Goals: A. Ndour (21'), V. Berisha (27', 42', 51'), S. Sebulonsen (90', 90+4').

Viking controlled possession (62%) and registered 20 shots to 14.

The match was played at SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger.

Viking vs Haugesund — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Viking 5–1 Haugesund