Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Corvinul Hunedoara — Liga II 2018

Viitorul Şelimbăr
Viitorul Şelimbăr
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Corvinul Hunedoara
Corvinul Hunedoara
4/6/2024Liga IILiga II · Promotion Round - 2Stadionul Măgura

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Viitorul Şelimbăr38%
×Draw27%
Corvinul Hunedoara35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.27
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.20

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 66 home / 42 away

creates per match

Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.55
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.38

allows per match

Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.02
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00

finishing

Viitorul Şelimbăr+0.00on par
Corvinul Hunedoara+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viitorul Şelimbăr ↓

Corvinul Hunedoara →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Viitorul Şelimbăr or draw
65%
Viitorul Şelimbăr or Corvinul Hunedoara
73%
Draw or Corvinul Hunedoara
62%

Winning margin

Viitorul Şelimbăr wins by 2+
17%
Corvinul Hunedoara wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Viitorul Şelimbăr 1+ goals
72%
Viitorul Şelimbăr 2+ goals
36%
Viitorul Şelimbăr 3+ goals
14%
Corvinul Hunedoara 1+ goals
70%
Corvinul Hunedoara 2+ goals
34%
Corvinul Hunedoara 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Viitorul Şelimbăr (draw refunded)
52%
Corvinul Hunedoara (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viitorul Şelimbăr at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.02 · 66 matches

Corvinul Hunedoara away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.00 · 42 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viitorul Şelimbăr attack 1.55 + Corvinul Hunedoara defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.27

Corvinul Hunedoara attack 1.38 + Viitorul Şelimbăr defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Viitorul Şelimbăr scores more
38%
level
27%
Corvinul Hunedoara scores more
35%

Viitorul Şelimbăr at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Viitorul Şelimbăr will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Corvinul Hunedoara

Viitorul Şelimbăr and Corvinul Hunedoara drew 0-0 in Liga II on April 6, 2024.

The match was played at Stadionul Măgura in Cisnădie.