Scoreo

Vihren vs Yantra 2019Second League 2018

Vihren
Vihren
Preview
15:00
Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
4/24/2027Second LeagueSecond League · Round 29Spartak Stadium
Big match
58%
Vihren
model favours
58%24%18%

Yantra 2019 score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Vihren58%
×Draw24%
Yantra 201918%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vihren
1.73
Yantra 2019
0.85

Vihren creates 104% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 100 away

creates per match

Vihren
2.25
Yantra 2019
0.95

allows per match

Vihren
0.75
Yantra 2019
1.21

finishing

Vihren+0.00on par
Yantra 2019+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vihren

Yantra 2019
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
016%
023%
031%
040%
1
1013%
1111%
125%
131%
140%
2
2011%
2110%
224%
231%
240%
3
307%
316%
322%
331%
340%
4
403%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Vihren or draw
82%
Vihren or Yantra 2019
76%
Draw or Yantra 2019
42%

Winning margin

Vihren wins by 2+
33%
Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Vihren 1+ goals
82%
Vihren 2+ goals
52%
Vihren 3+ goals
25%
Yantra 2019 1+ goals
57%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
21%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Vihren (draw refunded)
76%
Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vihren at homecreates 2.25, concedes 0.75 · 16 matches

Yantra 2019 awaycreates 0.95, concedes 1.21 · 100 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vihren attack 2.25 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.73

Yantra 2019 attack 0.95 + Vihren defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Vihren scores more
58%
level
24%
Yantra 2019 scores more
18%

Vihren at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Vihren will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Yantra 2019’s matches
  • 70% of Yantra 2019’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Top-of-the-table clash — Vihren 4 vs Yantra 2019 2
  • Vihren win just 21% against the top half (vs 78% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Vihren
WLLWD
2019
DLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Vihren face Yantra 2019 (Second League)

Second League returns with Vihren hosting Yantra 2019. Match starts April 24, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Vihren host Yantra 2019 at Spartak Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.