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Vihor vs Zrinski Jurjevac — League #217 2026

Vihor
Vihor
FT
0 – 0
Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
8/24/2019League #217League #217 · East - 1Nogometno igralište Korea Jelisavac

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Vihor20%
×Draw24%
Zrinski Jurjevac56%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vihor
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.75

Zrinski Jurjevac creates 86% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 4 away

creates per match

Vihor
1.38
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.75

allows per match

Vihor
1.75
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.50

finishing

Vihor+0.00on par
Zrinski Jurjevac+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vihor ↓

Zrinski Jurjevac →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–112%
0–210%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Vihor or draw
44%
Vihor or Zrinski Jurjevac
76%
Draw or Zrinski Jurjevac
80%

Winning margin

Vihor wins by 2+
7%
Zrinski Jurjevac wins by 2+
32%

Team goals

Vihor 1+ goals
61%
Vihor 2+ goals
24%
Vihor 3+ goals
7%
Zrinski Jurjevac 1+ goals
83%
Zrinski Jurjevac 2+ goals
52%
Zrinski Jurjevac 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Vihor (draw refunded)
26%
Zrinski Jurjevac (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vihor at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.75 · 16 matches

Zrinski Jurjevac away — creates 1.75, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vihor attack 1.38 + Zrinski Jurjevac defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.94

Zrinski Jurjevac attack 1.75 + Vihor defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Vihor scores more
20%
level
24%
Zrinski Jurjevac scores more
56%

Zrinski Jurjevac at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Zrinski Jurjevac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #217: Vihor 0–0 Zrinski Jurjevac

Vihor and Zrinski Jurjevac drew 0-0 in League #217 on August 24, 2019.

The match was played at Nogometno igralište Korea Jelisavac in Jelisavac.