Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Vihor vs Graničar Županja — League #217 2026

Vihor
Vihor
FT
2 – 0
Graničar Županja
Graničar Županja
4/10/2021League #217League #217 · East - 22Nogometno igralište Korea Jelisavac

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Vihor56%
×Draw23%
Graničar Županja21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vihor
1.85
Graničar Županja
1.04

Vihor creates 78% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 3 away

creates per match

Vihor
1.38
Graničar Županja
0.33

allows per match

Vihor
1.75
Graničar Županja
2.33

finishing

Vihor+0.00on par
Graničar Županja+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vihor ↓

Graničar Županja →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Vihor or draw
79%
Vihor or Graničar Županja
77%
Draw or Graničar Županja
44%

Winning margin

Vihor wins by 2+
32%
Graničar Županja wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Vihor 1+ goals
84%
Vihor 2+ goals
55%
Vihor 3+ goals
28%
Graničar Županja 1+ goals
65%
Graničar Županja 2+ goals
28%
Graničar Županja 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Vihor (draw refunded)
73%
Graničar Županja (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vihor at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.75 · 16 matches

Graničar Županja away — creates 0.33, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vihor attack 1.38 + Graničar Županja defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.85

Graničar Županja attack 0.33 + Vihor defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Vihor scores more
56%
level
23%
Graničar Županja scores more
21%

Vihor at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Vihor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #217: Vihor 2–0 Graničar Županja

Vihor beat Graničar Županja 2-0 in League #217 on April 10, 2021.

The match was played at Nogometno igralište Korea Jelisavac in Jelisavac.