Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Vihiga United FC vs Kisumu All Stars — Super League 2018

Vihiga United FC
Vihiga United FC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Kisumu All Stars
Kisumu All Stars
10/29/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Vihiga United FC40%
×Draw27%
Kisumu All Stars33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vihiga United FC
1.31
Kisumu All Stars
1.18

Vihiga United FC creates 11% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 105 away

creates per match

Vihiga United FC
1.14
Kisumu All Stars
0.89

allows per match

Vihiga United FC
1.46
Kisumu All Stars
1.49

finishing

Vihiga United FC+0.00on par
Kisumu All Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vihiga United FC ↓

Kisumu All Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Vihiga United FC or draw
67%
Vihiga United FC or Kisumu All Stars
73%
Draw or Kisumu All Stars
60%

Winning margin

Vihiga United FC wins by 2+
18%
Kisumu All Stars wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Vihiga United FC 1+ goals
73%
Vihiga United FC 2+ goals
38%
Vihiga United FC 3+ goals
14%
Kisumu All Stars 1+ goals
69%
Kisumu All Stars 2+ goals
33%
Kisumu All Stars 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Vihiga United FC (draw refunded)
54%
Kisumu All Stars (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vihiga United FC at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.46 · 56 matches

Kisumu All Stars away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.49 · 105 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vihiga United FC attack 1.14 + Kisumu All Stars defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.31

Kisumu All Stars attack 0.89 + Vihiga United FC defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Vihiga United FC scores more
40%
level
27%
Kisumu All Stars scores more
33%

Vihiga United FC at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Vihiga United FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Vihiga United FC 0–0 Kisumu All Stars

Vihiga United FC and Kisumu All Stars drew 0-0 in Super League on October 29, 2025.