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Viettel vs Sanna Khanh Hoa — V.League 1 2019

Viettel
Viettel
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sanna Khanh Hoa
Sanna Khanh Hoa
2/17/2024V.League 1V.League 1 · Round 9Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Viettel55%
×Draw25%
Sanna Khanh Hoa21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viettel
1.63
Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.89

Viettel creates 83% more chances

Season form · 90 home / 35 away

creates per match

Viettel
1.46
Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.91

allows per match

Viettel
0.86
Sanna Khanh Hoa
1.80

finishing

Viettel+0.00on par
Sanna Khanh Hoa+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viettel ↓

Sanna Khanh Hoa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Viettel or draw
79%
Viettel or Sanna Khanh Hoa
75%
Draw or Sanna Khanh Hoa
45%

Winning margin

Viettel wins by 2+
29%
Sanna Khanh Hoa wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Viettel 1+ goals
80%
Viettel 2+ goals
48%
Viettel 3+ goals
22%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 1+ goals
59%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 2+ goals
22%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Viettel (draw refunded)
73%
Sanna Khanh Hoa (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viettel at home — creates 1.46, concedes 0.86 · 90 matches

Sanna Khanh Hoa away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.80 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viettel attack 1.46 + Sanna Khanh Hoa defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.63

Sanna Khanh Hoa attack 0.91 + Viettel defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Viettel scores more
55%
level
25%
Sanna Khanh Hoa scores more
21%

Viettel at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Viettel will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 1: Viettel 0–0 Sanna Khanh Hoa

Viettel and Sanna Khanh Hoa drew 0-0 in V.League 1 on February 17, 2024.

The match was played at Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy in Hanoi.