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Vidar vs Sandnes ULF — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vidar
Vidar
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
A. Memed 68'
2/6/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Vidar29%
×Draw23%
Sandnes ULF48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vidar
1.31
Sandnes ULF
1.75

Sandnes ULF creates 34% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 8 away

creates per match

Vidar
1.25
Sandnes ULF
2.00

allows per match

Vidar
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.38

finishing

Vidar+0.00on par
Sandnes ULF+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vidar ↓

Sandnes ULF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Vidar or draw
52%
Vidar or Sandnes ULF
77%
Draw or Sandnes ULF
71%

Winning margin

Vidar wins by 2+
12%
Sandnes ULF wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Vidar 1+ goals
73%
Vidar 2+ goals
38%
Vidar 3+ goals
14%
Sandnes ULF 1+ goals
83%
Sandnes ULF 2+ goals
52%
Sandnes ULF 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Vidar (draw refunded)
38%
Sandnes ULF (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vidar at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Sandnes ULF away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vidar attack 1.25 + Sandnes ULF defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.31

Sandnes ULF attack 2.00 + Vidar defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Vidar scores more
29%
level
23%
Sandnes ULF scores more
48%

Sandnes ULF at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Sandnes ULF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

68'
A. Memed
Vidar
Sandnes
K. Sørli
Manager: K. Sørli
Arturo Cleveland
Manager: Arturo Cleveland

Friendlies Clubs: Vidar 0–1 Sandnes ULF

Sandnes ULF beat Vidar 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 6, 2026.

Goals: A. Memed (68').