Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

VfL Halle vs Bischofswerdaer FV — Oberliga - Nordost-Süd 2020

VfL Halle
VfL Halle
FT
6 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Bischofswerdaer FV
Bischofswerdaer FV
8/31/2025Oberliga - Nordost-SüdOberliga - Nordost-Süd · Nordost-Süd - 4HWG-Stadion am Zoo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 77+ matches

VfL Halle46%
×Draw23%
Bischofswerdaer FV31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

VfL Halle
1.81
Bischofswerdaer FV
1.47

VfL Halle creates 23% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 77 away

creates per match

VfL Halle
2.04
Bischofswerdaer FV
1.57

allows per match

VfL Halle
1.37
Bischofswerdaer FV
1.58

finishing

VfL Halle+0.00on par
Bischofswerdaer FV+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

VfL Halle ↓

Bischofswerdaer FV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

VfL Halle or draw
69%
VfL Halle or Bischofswerdaer FV
77%
Draw or Bischofswerdaer FV
54%

Winning margin

VfL Halle wins by 2+
25%
Bischofswerdaer FV wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

VfL Halle 1+ goals
84%
VfL Halle 2+ goals
54%
VfL Halle 3+ goals
27%
Bischofswerdaer FV 1+ goals
77%
Bischofswerdaer FV 2+ goals
43%
Bischofswerdaer FV 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

VfL Halle (draw refunded)
59%
Bischofswerdaer FV (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

VfL Halle at home — creates 2.04, concedes 1.37 · 82 matches

Bischofswerdaer FV away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.58 · 77 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

VfL Halle attack 2.04 + Bischofswerdaer FV defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.81

Bischofswerdaer FV attack 1.57 + VfL Halle defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

VfL Halle scores more
46%
level
23%
Bischofswerdaer FV scores more
31%

VfL Halle at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "VfL Halle will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: VfL Halle vs Bischofswerdaer FV

VfL Halle beat Bischofswerdaer FV 6-0 in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd on August 31, 2025.

The match was played at HWG-Stadion am Zoo in Halle (Saale).