Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

VfB Oldenburg vs Atlas Delmenhorst — Friendlies Clubs 2026

VfB Oldenburg
VfB Oldenburg
CANC
12:00
Atlas Delmenhorst
Atlas Delmenhorst
1/31/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

VfB Oldenburg35%
×Draw20%
Atlas Delmenhorst45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

VfB Oldenburg
2.01
Atlas Delmenhorst
2.27

Atlas Delmenhorst creates 13% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 9 away

creates per match

VfB Oldenburg
1.25
Atlas Delmenhorst
1.78

allows per match

VfB Oldenburg
2.75
Atlas Delmenhorst
2.78

finishing

VfB Oldenburg+0.00on par
Atlas Delmenhorst+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

VfB Oldenburg ↓

Atlas Delmenhorst →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–24%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

VfB Oldenburg or draw
55%
VfB Oldenburg or Atlas Delmenhorst
80%
Draw or Atlas Delmenhorst
65%

Winning margin

VfB Oldenburg wins by 2+
19%
Atlas Delmenhorst wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

VfB Oldenburg 1+ goals
87%
VfB Oldenburg 2+ goals
59%
VfB Oldenburg 3+ goals
32%
Atlas Delmenhorst 1+ goals
90%
Atlas Delmenhorst 2+ goals
66%
Atlas Delmenhorst 3+ goals
39%

Draw no bet

VfB Oldenburg (draw refunded)
44%
Atlas Delmenhorst (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

VfB Oldenburg at home — creates 1.25, concedes 2.75 · 4 matches

Atlas Delmenhorst away — creates 1.78, concedes 2.78 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

VfB Oldenburg attack 1.25 + Atlas Delmenhorst defence 2.78 → ÷2 → 2.01

Atlas Delmenhorst attack 1.78 + VfB Oldenburg defence 2.75 → ÷2 → 2.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

VfB Oldenburg scores more
35%
level
20%
Atlas Delmenhorst scores more
45%

Atlas Delmenhorst at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Atlas Delmenhorst will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

VfB Oldenburg face Atlas Delmenhorst (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with VfB Oldenburg hosting Atlas Delmenhorst. Match starts January 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.