Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Veres Rivne vs Nasaf — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Veres Rivne
Veres Rivne
CANC
00:00
Nasaf
Nasaf
2/10/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Veres Rivne51%
×Draw23%
Nasaf26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Veres Rivne
1.89
Nasaf
1.29

Veres Rivne creates 47% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 9 away

creates per match

Veres Rivne
1.56
Nasaf
1.33

allows per match

Veres Rivne
1.25
Nasaf
2.22

finishing

Veres Rivne+0.00on par
Nasaf+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 61Under: 3961%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 61No: 3961%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Veres Rivne ↓

Nasaf →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Veres Rivne or draw
74%
Veres Rivne or Nasaf
77%
Draw or Nasaf
49%

Winning margin

Veres Rivne wins by 2+
29%
Nasaf wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Veres Rivne 1+ goals
85%
Veres Rivne 2+ goals
56%
Veres Rivne 3+ goals
29%
Nasaf 1+ goals
72%
Nasaf 2+ goals
37%
Nasaf 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Veres Rivne (draw refunded)
66%
Nasaf (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Veres Rivne at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.25 · 16 matches

Nasaf away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.22 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Veres Rivne attack 1.56 + Nasaf defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.89

Nasaf attack 1.33 + Veres Rivne defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Veres Rivne scores more
51%
level
23%
Nasaf scores more
26%

Veres Rivne at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Veres Rivne will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Veres Rivne face Nasaf (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Veres Rivne hosting Nasaf. Match starts February 10, 2025. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Veres Rivne host Nasaf at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.