Veres Rivne U19 0–0 Vorskla U19: Result & Stats

Veres Rivne U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Vorskla U19

10/26/2024

U19 League · Round 11NTB Veres

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Veres Rivne U1954%

×Draw24%

Vorskla U1922%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Veres Rivne U19Expected goals in this matchVorskla U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.70

0.99

Veres Rivne U19

1.70

Vorskla U19

0.99

Veres Rivne U19 creates 72% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 30 away

1.73

creates per match

0.97

1.02

allows per match

1.67

creates per match

Veres Rivne U19

1.73

Vorskla U19

0.97

allows per match

Veres Rivne U19

1.02

Vorskla U19

1.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Veres Rivne U19+0.00on par

Vorskla U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Veres Rivne U19 ↓

Vorskla U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Veres Rivne U19 or draw

78%

Veres Rivne U19 or Vorskla U19

76%

Draw or Vorskla U19

46%

Winning margin

Veres Rivne U19 wins by 2+

30%

Vorskla U19 wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Veres Rivne U19 1+ goals

82%

Veres Rivne U19 2+ goals

51%

Veres Rivne U19 3+ goals

24%

Vorskla U19 1+ goals

63%

Vorskla U19 2+ goals

26%

Vorskla U19 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Veres Rivne U19 (draw refunded)

71%

Vorskla U19 (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Veres Rivne U19 at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.02 · 45 matches

Vorskla U19 away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.67 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Veres Rivne U19 attack 1.73 + Vorskla U19 defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.70

Vorskla U19 attack 0.97 + Veres Rivne U19 defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Veres Rivne U19 scores more

54%

level

24%

Vorskla U19 scores more

22%

Veres Rivne U19 at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Veres Rivne U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff