Venezuela 1–2 Türkiye: Result & Stats | Friendlies

Venezuela

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Türkiye

G. Mendoza 13'

Y. Akgun 54'

B. Yilmaz 44'

6/6/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalChase Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Venezuela46%

×Draw26%

Türkiye28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

VenezuelaExpected goals in this matchTürkiye

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.08

Venezuela

1.48

Türkiye

1.08

Venezuela creates 37% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 12 away

1.30

creates per match

1.17

1.00

allows per match

1.67

creates per match

Venezuela

1.30

Türkiye

1.17

allows per match

Venezuela

1.00

Türkiye

1.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Venezuela+0.00on par

Türkiye+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Venezuela ↓

Türkiye →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Venezuela or draw

72%

Venezuela or Türkiye

74%

Draw or Türkiye

54%

Winning margin

Venezuela wins by 2+

23%

Türkiye wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Venezuela 1+ goals

77%

Venezuela 2+ goals

43%

Venezuela 3+ goals

19%

Türkiye 1+ goals

66%

Türkiye 2+ goals

29%

Türkiye 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Venezuela (draw refunded)

63%

Türkiye (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Venezuela at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

Türkiye away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.67 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Venezuela attack 1.30 + Türkiye defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.48

Türkiye attack 1.17 + Venezuela defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Venezuela scores more

46%

level

26%

Türkiye scores more

28%

Venezuela at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Venezuela will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

J. Contreras

Venezuela · G

8.3

Match Events

13'

G. Mendoza↳ T. Segovia

44'

B. Yilmaz

46'

Y. Akgun← I. Kahveci

46'

M. Demiral← A. Bardakci

52'

52'

52'

54'

62'

D. Pereira← Y. Herrera

62'

L. Balbo← T. Quintero

62'

M. Muldur← Z. Celik

62'

S. Ozcan← I. Yuksek

62'

K. Akturkoglu← D. Gul

62'

C. Uzun← A. Guler

71'

H. Calhanoglu← O. Kokcu

80'

E. Echenique← T. Segovia

80'

K. Kelsy← J. Ramirez

80'

M. Libra← D. Martinez

80'

O. Aydin← E. Elmali

89'

J. Graterol← J. Contreras

89'

E. Tortolero← G. Mendoza

89'

C. Vivas← N. Ferraresi

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

VenezuelaTürkiye

Overview

48%Possession52%

9Total Shots16

2Corners12

16Fouls12

Shots

9Total Shots16

2On Target8

5Off Target5

2Blocked3

2Inside Box10

7Outside Box6

Passing

48%Possession52%

387Total Passes411

332Accurate Passes361

86%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

6Saves1

Discipline

16Fouls12

2Yellow Cards1

7Offsides2

Friendlies: Venezuela 1–2 Türkiye

Türkiye beat Venezuela 2-1 in Friendlies on June 6, 2026.

Goals: G. Mendoza (13'), B. Yilmaz (44'), Y. Akgun (54').

Türkiye controlled possession (52%) and registered 16 shots to 9.

The match was played at Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale.

Venezuela vs Türkiye — Friendlies 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Friendlies: Venezuela 1–2 Türkiye