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Vendsyssel FF vs IFK Goteborg — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
FT
1 – 0
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
1/19/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Skibsby-Højene IF Anlæg

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Vendsyssel FF47%
×Draw22%
IFK Goteborg32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vendsyssel FF
1.98
IFK Goteborg
1.60

Vendsyssel FF creates 24% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

creates per match

Vendsyssel FF
2.25
IFK Goteborg
2.71

allows per match

Vendsyssel FF
0.50
IFK Goteborg
1.71

finishing

Vendsyssel FF+0.00on par
IFK Goteborg+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vendsyssel FF ↓

IFK Goteborg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Vendsyssel FF or draw
68%
Vendsyssel FF or IFK Goteborg
78%
Draw or IFK Goteborg
53%

Winning margin

Vendsyssel FF wins by 2+
26%
IFK Goteborg wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Vendsyssel FF 1+ goals
86%
Vendsyssel FF 2+ goals
59%
Vendsyssel FF 3+ goals
31%
IFK Goteborg 1+ goals
80%
IFK Goteborg 2+ goals
47%
IFK Goteborg 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Vendsyssel FF (draw refunded)
60%
IFK Goteborg (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vendsyssel FF at home — creates 2.25, concedes 0.50 · 8 matches

IFK Goteborg away — creates 2.71, concedes 1.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vendsyssel FF attack 2.25 + IFK Goteborg defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.98

IFK Goteborg attack 2.71 + Vendsyssel FF defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Vendsyssel FF scores more
47%
level
22%
IFK Goteborg scores more
32%

Vendsyssel FF at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Vendsyssel FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Vendsyssel FF 1–0 IFK Goteborg

Vendsyssel FF beat IFK Goteborg 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 19, 2024.

The match was played at Skibsby-Højene IF Anlæg in Hjørring.