Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Veľké Ludince vs Rača — 3. liga - West 2020

Veľké Ludince
Veľké Ludince
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Rača
Rača
4/19/20263. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 23?tadión TJ Dru?stevník

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Veľké Ludince51%
×Draw26%
Rača23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Veľké Ludince
1.51
Rača
0.91

Veľké Ludince creates 66% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 46 away

creates per match

Veľké Ludince
1.65
Rača
0.83

allows per match

Veľké Ludince
0.99
Rača
1.37

finishing

Veľké Ludince+0.00on par
Rača+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Veľké Ludince ↓

Rača →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Veľké Ludince or draw
77%
Veľké Ludince or Rača
74%
Draw or Rača
49%

Winning margin

Veľké Ludince wins by 2+
26%
Rača wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Veľké Ludince 1+ goals
78%
Veľké Ludince 2+ goals
44%
Veľké Ludince 3+ goals
19%
Rača 1+ goals
60%
Rača 2+ goals
23%
Rača 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Veľké Ludince (draw refunded)
69%
Rača (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Veľké Ludince at home — creates 1.65, concedes 0.99 · 85 matches

Rača away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.37 · 46 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Veľké Ludince attack 1.65 + Rača defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.51

Rača attack 0.83 + Veľké Ludince defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Veľké Ludince scores more
51%
level
26%
Rača scores more
23%

Veľké Ludince at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Veľké Ludince will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Veľké Ludince vs Rača

Veľké Ludince beat Rača 2-1 in 3. liga - West on April 19, 2026.

The match was played at ?tadión TJ Dru?stevník in Veľké Ludince.