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VC Warriors vs Legon Cities — Division One League 2025

VC Warriors
VC Warriors
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Legon Cities
Legon Cities
2/14/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 19

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

VC Warriors75%
×Draw15%
Legon Cities10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

VC Warriors
2.65
Legon Cities
0.85

VC Warriors creates 212% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 14 away

creates per match

VC Warriors
2.15
Legon Cities
0.79

allows per match

VC Warriors
0.92
Legon Cities
3.14

finishing

VC Warriors+0.00on par
Legon Cities+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

VC Warriors ↓

Legon Cities →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

VC Warriors or draw
90%
VC Warriors or Legon Cities
85%
Draw or Legon Cities
25%

Winning margin

VC Warriors wins by 2+
54%
Legon Cities wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

VC Warriors 1+ goals
93%
VC Warriors 2+ goals
74%
VC Warriors 3+ goals
48%
Legon Cities 1+ goals
57%
Legon Cities 2+ goals
21%
Legon Cities 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

VC Warriors (draw refunded)
88%
Legon Cities (draw refunded)
12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

VC Warriors at home — creates 2.15, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

Legon Cities away — creates 0.79, concedes 3.14 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

VC Warriors attack 2.15 + Legon Cities defence 3.14 → ÷2 → 2.65

Legon Cities attack 0.79 + VC Warriors defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

VC Warriors scores more
75%
level
15%
Legon Cities scores more
10%

VC Warriors at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "VC Warriors will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: VC Warriors vs Legon Cities

VC Warriors beat Legon Cities 2-0 in Division One League on February 14, 2026.