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Växjö W vs Norrköping W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Växjö W
Växjö W
Preview
14:00
Norrköping W
Norrköping W
11/8/2026DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 25Visma Arena
Big match
44%
Norrköping W
model favours
30%26%44%

Norrköping W score first in only 25% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Växjö W30%
×Draw26%
Norrköping W44%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Växjö W
1.14
Norrköping W
1.43

Norrköping W creates 25% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 44 away

creates per match

Växjö W
0.96
Norrköping W
1.30

allows per match

Växjö W
1.55
Norrköping W
1.32

finishing

Växjö W+0.00on par
Norrköping W+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Växjö W ↓

Norrköping W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–111%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Växjö W or draw
56%
Växjö W or Norrköping W
74%
Draw or Norrköping W
70%

Winning margin

Växjö W wins by 2+
12%
Norrköping W wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Växjö W 1+ goals
68%
Växjö W 2+ goals
32%
Växjö W 3+ goals
11%
Norrköping W 1+ goals
76%
Norrköping W 2+ goals
42%
Norrköping W 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Växjö W (draw refunded)
41%
Norrköping W (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Växjö W at home — creates 0.96, concedes 1.55 · 67 matches

Norrköping W away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.32 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Växjö W attack 0.96 + Norrköping W defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.14

Norrköping W attack 1.30 + Växjö W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Växjö W scores more
30%
level
26%
Norrköping W scores more
44%

Norrköping W at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Norrköping W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Växjö W
Balanced
Norrköping W
Defensively solid
51%Possession48%
78%Pass accuracy74%
13.7Shots13.0
1.72xGBiggest gap1.28
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Växjö WNorrköping W

Head-to-head

9 previous meetings

2
Växjö W
3
Draws
4
Norrköping W
Avg goals: 1.9BTTS: 44%
0–00–21–10–11–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
WDWLL
W
DDDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Växjö W vs Norrköping W — Match Preview

Växjö W face Norrköping W on November 8, 2026 in this Damallsvenskan fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Växjö W host Norrköping W at Visma Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.