Norrköping W 2–0 Växjö W: Result & Stats

Norrköping W

FT

2 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Växjö W

S. Rehnberg 21'

C. Jones 3'

10/5/2025

Damallsvenskan · Round 21Platinumcars Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Norrköping W37%

×Draw23%

Växjö W39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Norrköping WExpected goals in this matchVäxjö W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

1.64

Norrköping W

1.60

Växjö W

1.64

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

1.30

creates per match

1.91

1.37

allows per match

1.91

creates per match

Norrköping W

1.30

Växjö W

1.91

allows per match

Norrköping W

1.37

Växjö W

1.91

-0.30scores less than expected

finishing

-0.24scores less than expected

finishing

Norrköping W-0.30scores less

Växjö W-0.24scores less

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Norrköping W ↓

Växjö W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Norrköping W or draw

61%

Norrköping W or Växjö W

77%

Draw or Växjö W

63%

Winning margin

Norrköping W wins by 2+

18%

Växjö W wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Norrköping W 1+ goals

80%

Norrköping W 2+ goals

47%

Norrköping W 3+ goals

22%

Växjö W 1+ goals

81%

Växjö W 2+ goals

49%

Växjö W 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

Norrköping W (draw refunded)

49%

Växjö W (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Norrköping W at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.37 · 6 matches

Växjö W away — creates 1.91, concedes 1.91 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Norrköping W attack 1.30 + Växjö W defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 1.60

Växjö W attack 1.91 + Norrköping W defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Norrköping W scores more

37%

level

23%

Växjö W scores more

39%

Växjö W at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Växjö W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

S. Hjern

Norrköping W · G

7.6

Match Events

3'

C. Jones

21'

S. Rehnberg

46'

L. Gustafsson← M. Bodin

54'

Elvira Hammarbäck

65'

D. Leskinen← A. Hellekant

65'

A. H. Ekberg← S. Rehnberg

73'

E. Burvall← C. Jones

73'

S. Ravnell← V. Milivojevic

74'

E. Holmqvist← E. Hammarback

74'

D. Dupuy← E. Nilsson

83'

P. Broddner-Klingspor← W. Leidhammar

90+5'

Paula Broddner Klingspor

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

NorrköpingVäxjö

Overview

41%Possession59%

17Total Shots12

0.96Expected Goals (xG)0.98

2Corners5

10Fouls9

Shots

17Total Shots12

5On Target4

7Off Target5

5Blocked3

6Inside Box9

11Outside Box3

Passing

41%Possession59%

315Total Passes529

228Accurate Passes431

72%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

Discipline

10Fouls9

1Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards0

1Offsides3

Damallsvenskan: Norrköping W 2–0 Växjö W

Norrköping W beat Växjö W 2-0 in Damallsvenskan on October 5, 2025.

Goals: C. Jones (3'), S. Rehnberg (21').

Växjö W controlled possession (59%) and registered 12 shots to 17.

The match was played at Platinumcars Arena.

Norrköping W vs Växjö W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Damallsvenskan: Norrköping W 2–0 Växjö W