Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Växjö W vs Häcken W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Växjö W
Växjö W
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 1
Häcken W
Häcken W
8/17/2025DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 14Visma Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Växjö W15%
×Draw21%
Häcken W64%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Växjö W
0.80
Häcken W
1.92

Häcken W creates 140% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 58 away

creates per match

Växjö W
0.96
Häcken W
2.28

allows per match

Växjö W
1.55
Häcken W
0.64

finishing

Växjö W+0.00on par
Häcken W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Växjö W ↓

Häcken W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–113%
0–212%
0–38%
0–44%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Växjö W or draw
36%
Växjö W or Häcken W
79%
Draw or Häcken W
85%

Winning margin

Växjö W wins by 2+
4%
Häcken W wins by 2+
38%

Team goals

Växjö W 1+ goals
55%
Växjö W 2+ goals
19%
Växjö W 3+ goals
5%
Häcken W 1+ goals
85%
Häcken W 2+ goals
57%
Häcken W 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Växjö W (draw refunded)
19%
Häcken W (draw refunded)
81%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Växjö W at home — creates 0.96, concedes 1.55 · 67 matches

Häcken W away — creates 2.28, concedes 0.64 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Växjö W attack 0.96 + Häcken W defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.80

Häcken W attack 2.28 + Växjö W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Växjö W scores more
15%
level
21%
Häcken W scores more
64%

Häcken W at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Häcken W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Damallsvenskan: Växjö W 0–5 Häcken W

Häcken W beat Växjö W 5-0 in Damallsvenskan on August 17, 2025.

The match was played at Visma Arena.