Vautour Club vs Stade Mandji — Championnat D1 2022
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 31+ matches
Vautour Club36%
Stade Mandji32%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Both teams create about equally
Season form · 33 home / 31 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under71
- Over29
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No63
- Yes37
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Vautour Club ↓
Most likely 0–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Vautour Club at home — creates 1.12, concedes 0.88 · 33 matches
Stade Mandji away — creates 0.94, concedes 0.84 · 31 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Vautour Club attack 1.12 + Stade Mandji defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.98
Stade Mandji attack 0.94 + Vautour Club defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.91
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 36%?"
Vautour Club at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 36% does not mean "Vautour Club will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Cercle Mbéri
CS Bendje
Mangasport
MounanaVautour ClubStade Mandji
FC 105
Pélican
Bitam
Dikaki
Bouenguidi
Missile
US Oyem
LozoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Vautour Club host Stade Mandji on Saturday, 31 May 2025 at 14:30. The match is part of the Championnat D1 2022/2023 season.
Championnat D1: Vautour Club 2–2 Stade Mandji
Vautour Club and Stade Mandji drew 2-2 in Championnat D1 on May 31, 2025.
The match was played at Stade Augustin Monédan de Sibang in Libreville.