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Utsikten vs IFK Norrkoping — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Utsikten
Utsikten
FT
1 – 1
IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping
6/19/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Hjällbovallen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Utsikten11%
×Draw16%
IFK Norrkoping73%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Utsikten
0.92
IFK Norrkoping
2.58

IFK Norrkoping creates 180% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Utsikten
0.50
IFK Norrkoping
1.67

allows per match

Utsikten
3.50
IFK Norrkoping
1.33

finishing

Utsikten+0.00on par
IFK Norrkoping+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Utsikten ↓

IFK Norrkoping →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–18%
0–210%
0–39%
0–46%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (10%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Utsikten or draw
27%
Utsikten or IFK Norrkoping
84%
Draw or IFK Norrkoping
89%

Winning margin

Utsikten wins by 2+
4%
IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+
51%

Team goals

Utsikten 1+ goals
60%
Utsikten 2+ goals
23%
Utsikten 3+ goals
7%
IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals
92%
IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals
72%
IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals
47%

Draw no bet

Utsikten (draw refunded)
14%
IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)
86%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Utsikten at home — creates 0.50, concedes 3.50 · 4 matches

IFK Norrkoping away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Utsikten attack 0.50 + IFK Norrkoping defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 0.92

IFK Norrkoping attack 1.67 + Utsikten defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 2.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Utsikten scores more
11%
level
16%
IFK Norrkoping scores more
73%

IFK Norrkoping at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "IFK Norrkoping will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Utsikten vs IFK Norrkoping

Utsikten and IFK Norrkoping drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 19, 2022.

The match was played at Hjällbovallen in Angered.