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Utsikten vs Falkenbergs FF — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Utsikten
Utsikten
CANC
12:00
Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF
1/31/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Utsikten10%
×Draw16%
Falkenbergs FF74%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Utsikten
0.85
Falkenbergs FF
2.55

Falkenbergs FF creates 200% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 5 away

creates per match

Utsikten
0.50
Falkenbergs FF
1.60

allows per match

Utsikten
3.50
Falkenbergs FF
1.20

finishing

Utsikten+0.00on par
Falkenbergs FF+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Utsikten ↓

Falkenbergs FF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–19%
0–211%
0–39%
0–46%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (11%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Utsikten or draw
26%
Utsikten or Falkenbergs FF
84%
Draw or Falkenbergs FF
90%

Winning margin

Utsikten wins by 2+
3%
Falkenbergs FF wins by 2+
52%

Team goals

Utsikten 1+ goals
57%
Utsikten 2+ goals
21%
Utsikten 3+ goals
5%
Falkenbergs FF 1+ goals
92%
Falkenbergs FF 2+ goals
72%
Falkenbergs FF 3+ goals
46%

Draw no bet

Utsikten (draw refunded)
12%
Falkenbergs FF (draw refunded)
88%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Utsikten at home — creates 0.50, concedes 3.50 · 4 matches

Falkenbergs FF away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Utsikten attack 0.50 + Falkenbergs FF defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.85

Falkenbergs FF attack 1.60 + Utsikten defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 2.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Utsikten scores more
10%
level
16%
Falkenbergs FF scores more
74%

Falkenbergs FF at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "Falkenbergs FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Utsikten host Falkenbergs FF

January 31, 2026: Utsikten take on Falkenbergs FF in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.