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Utsikten vs BK Hacken — Svenska Cupen 2019

Utsikten
Utsikten
Preview
16:30
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
8/25/2026Svenska CupenSvenska Cupen · Final
Big match
78%
BK Hacken
model favours
9%13%78%

BK Hacken have won 3 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–3
likely score
79%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Utsikten9%
×Draw13%
BK Hacken78%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Utsikten
1.04
BK Hacken
3.21

BK Hacken creates 209% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 18 away

creates per match

Utsikten
0.86
BK Hacken
3.72

allows per match

Utsikten
2.71
BK Hacken
1.22

finishing

Utsikten+0.00on par
BK Hacken+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Utsikten ↓

BK Hacken →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–15%
0–28%
0–38%
0–47%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–28%
1–39%
1–47%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–34%
2–44%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–3 (9%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Utsikten or draw
22%
Utsikten or BK Hacken
87%
Draw or BK Hacken
91%

Winning margin

Utsikten wins by 2+
3%
BK Hacken wins by 2+
60%

Team goals

Utsikten 1+ goals
65%
Utsikten 2+ goals
28%
Utsikten 3+ goals
9%
BK Hacken 1+ goals
96%
BK Hacken 2+ goals
82%
BK Hacken 3+ goals
60%

Draw no bet

Utsikten (draw refunded)
10%
BK Hacken (draw refunded)
90%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Utsikten at home — creates 0.86, concedes 2.71 · 7 matches

BK Hacken away — creates 3.72, concedes 1.22 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Utsikten attack 0.86 + BK Hacken defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.04

BK Hacken attack 3.72 + Utsikten defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 3.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 78%?"

Utsikten scores more
9%
level
13%
BK Hacken scores more
78%

BK Hacken at 78% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 78% does not mean "BK Hacken will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Top-of-the-table clash — Utsikten 4 vs BK Hacken 1
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 5.8 goals
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 4 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Utsikten
LLLLD
Hacken
LLLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Utsikten vs BK Hacken — Match Preview

Utsikten face BK Hacken on August 25, 2026 in this Svenska Cupen fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.