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BK Hacken vs Utsikten — Friendlies Clubs 2026

BK Hacken
BK Hacken
FT
1 – 2
Utsikten
Utsikten
11/11/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Bravida Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

BK Hacken60%
×Draw17%
Utsikten22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BK Hacken
2.87
Utsikten
1.74

BK Hacken creates 65% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 5 away

creates per match

BK Hacken
2.33
Utsikten
1.60

allows per match

BK Hacken
1.87
Utsikten
3.40

finishing

BK Hacken+0.00on par
Utsikten+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BK Hacken ↓

Utsikten →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–24%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
67%33%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

BK Hacken or draw
78%
BK Hacken or Utsikten
83%
Draw or Utsikten
40%

Winning margin

BK Hacken wins by 2+
41%
Utsikten wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

BK Hacken 1+ goals
94%
BK Hacken 2+ goals
77%
BK Hacken 3+ goals
53%
Utsikten 1+ goals
82%
Utsikten 2+ goals
52%
Utsikten 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

BK Hacken (draw refunded)
73%
Utsikten (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BK Hacken at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.87 · 15 matches

Utsikten away — creates 1.60, concedes 3.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BK Hacken attack 2.33 + Utsikten defence 3.40 → ÷2 → 2.87

Utsikten attack 1.60 + BK Hacken defence 1.87 → ÷2 → 1.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

BK Hacken scores more
60%
level
17%
Utsikten scores more
22%

BK Hacken at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "BK Hacken will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: BK Hacken vs Utsikten

Utsikten beat BK Hacken 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on November 11, 2022.

The match was played at Bravida Arena in Göteborg.