USC Rohrbach 0–0 Zwettl: Result & Stats

USC Rohrbach

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Zwettl

3/7/2025

Landesliga - Niederosterreich · Niederösterreich - 17Liese Prokop Sportanlage

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 71+ matches

USC Rohrbach40%

×Draw25%

Zwettl35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

USC RohrbachExpected goals in this matchZwettl

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.38

USC Rohrbach

1.48

Zwettl

1.38

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 71 home / 85 away

1.23

creates per match

1.21

1.54

allows per match

1.73

creates per match

USC Rohrbach

1.23

Zwettl

1.21

allows per match

USC Rohrbach

1.54

Zwettl

1.73

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

USC Rohrbach+0.00on par

Zwettl+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

USC Rohrbach ↓

Zwettl →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

USC Rohrbach or draw

65%

USC Rohrbach or Zwettl

75%

Draw or Zwettl

60%

Winning margin

USC Rohrbach wins by 2+

19%

Zwettl wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

USC Rohrbach 1+ goals

77%

USC Rohrbach 2+ goals

43%

USC Rohrbach 3+ goals

19%

Zwettl 1+ goals

75%

Zwettl 2+ goals

40%

Zwettl 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

USC Rohrbach (draw refunded)

53%

Zwettl (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

USC Rohrbach at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.54 · 71 matches

Zwettl away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.73 · 85 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

USC Rohrbach attack 1.23 + Zwettl defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.48

Zwettl attack 1.21 + USC Rohrbach defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

USC Rohrbach scores more

40%

level

25%

Zwettl scores more

35%

USC Rohrbach at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "USC Rohrbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff